Old-Fashioned-Hydrolysis
0x86aeb9462f8895f7e8b477b76e55980473fd697f
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$220.94
Total PnL
$-867.84
Realised
$-4.88
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
621 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$99.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
917 shares @ 10.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$88.53
$-11.47
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
195 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.72
$-0.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
600 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
590 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-134.00
- YES
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
535 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-123.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
300 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-53.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
200 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
200 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-76.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$9.99Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$4.70Jun 12, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$9.60Jun 12, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$9.20Jun 12, 03:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$12.06Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$34.04Jun 11, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.67Jun 11, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.52Jun 11, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.46Jun 11, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$11.22Jun 11, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.26Jun 11, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$126.72Jun 11, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$35.50Jun 11, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$9.60Jun 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.90Jun 11, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$84.48Jun 11, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.93Jun 11, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$8.40Jun 11, 04:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $21.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 04:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.