Defiant-Pine
0x86af11920f01db87f262c650ed7b239dc754d70c
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$45.13
Total PnL
$0.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
15 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.62
$0.06
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
12 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$12.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.64
$0.04
- NO
Will PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$4.79
$0.29
- NO
Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$3.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?$4.50Sep 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.60Sep 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$14.56Sep 15, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$10.01Sep 15, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$10.00Aug 24, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$12.00Aug 24, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?$2.12Aug 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Democratic Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$3.00Aug 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.03Aug 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill another party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$3.31Aug 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.27Aug 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$6.73Aug 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Greens be part of the next German government?$8.05Aug 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$8.81Aug 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill another party win the most seats in the next Canadian election?$8.82Aug 24, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill BSW be part of the next German government?$12.06Aug 24, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. GDP growth be less than -2% in Q1 2025?$2.00Apr 21, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Greens be part of the next German government?$8.00Apr 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BSW be part of the next German government?$12.00Apr 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$8.80Apr 21, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 05:27 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 15, 14:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.