Academic-Longitude
0x86af8234863b6529dde688493bd0638b131902cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.45
Total PnL
$-16.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
2495 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 6?
206 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$4.99Mar 6, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.00Mar 6, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 16:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$6.99Mar 6, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$6.99Feb 14, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$10.00Feb 14, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $5.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 04:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.