Willing-Lunch
0x86b0da5133819755c43fac645b1f7bac31badb3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$11.46
Total PnL
$-1.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on October 25?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$7.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on October 25?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$4.45
$0.00
- NATIONALS
Rockies vs. Nationals
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on October 25?$4.45Oct 24, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on October 25?$7.00Oct 24, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWhite Sox vs. Mariners$2.78Oct 24, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMPlasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$3.09Oct 24, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYPlasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$3.00Aug 7, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWhite Sox vs. Mariners$2.00Aug 7, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on June 17 at 5 PM ET?$1.25Aug 7, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on June 17 at 5 PM ET?$1.00Jun 17, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockies vs. Nationals$1.50Jun 17, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. 76ers$0.00Jun 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. 76ers$1.00Mar 9, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Senators$0.00Mar 9, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMDucks vs. Flames$1.39Mar 9, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Flames$1.00Jan 28, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Senators$1.00Jan 28, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United beat Fenerbahce?$0.00Jan 28, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Twente beat Lazio?$0.00Jan 28, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Wizards$0.11Nov 12, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Athletic Bilbao beat Slavia Praha?$0.18Nov 12, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United beat Fenerbahce?$0.10Oct 24, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 04:05 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 21:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.