Personal-Pier
0x86b254ab0334a70abd20497e55a565721a58383d
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$85.00
Total PnL
$-445.80
Realised
$401.44
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$85.00
$15.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Grokipedia released by November 15?
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
3000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.67
- YES
Will Trump say "King" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Tariff" 10+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $370–385 in 2025?
3000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355–370 in 2025?
2250 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.50
- YES
Will Google reach $340 in December?
1632 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$70.00Apr 22, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$19.24Mar 30, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.32Mar 30, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$5.15Mar 24, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$14.85Mar 24, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.44Feb 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$5.43Feb 22, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$10.77Feb 22, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$2.28Feb 9, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$3.23Jan 20, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$8.11Jan 20, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$22.50Jan 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$25.00Jan 9, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$22.00Jan 7, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$24.03Jan 6, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.88Jan 6, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.83Jan 6, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.88Jan 6, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.50Jan 6, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.88Jan 6, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $15.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 11:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".