Hospitable-Parent
0x86b6f67637d944d9205cb11477bf4508c8a334ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$72.07
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.00
$45.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$16.67
$15.67
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 2.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.41
$-4.59
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
75322 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-499.91
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
18750 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
9501 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
9501 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
8852 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
8077 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
7063 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-84.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$200.00Apr 8, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$100.00Apr 8, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$200.00Apr 7, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$849.78Apr 7, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$363.80Apr 7, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$30.00Apr 6, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$20.05Apr 6, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$40.00Apr 5, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$10.00Apr 5, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$10.00Apr 5, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$10.00Apr 5, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$130.00Apr 5, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$10.00Apr 5, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$40.00Apr 5, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$30.00Apr 5, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$20.00Apr 5, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$20.00Apr 5, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$20.00Apr 5, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$100.00Apr 5, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$488.38Apr 5, 03:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $121.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.