0x86bc68cf90f274227cb51659ef1f2ac29867c15f
0x86bc68cf90f274227cb51659ef1f2ac29867c15f
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$506.23
Total PnL
$-104.28
Realised
$28.72
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$119.05
$19.05
- NO
Netanyahu out by 2025?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$107.53
$7.53
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$30.00
- NO
US forces in Iran in 2025?
56 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$56.24
$3.94
- NO
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
50 shares @ 79.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$50.32
$10.32
- NO
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$29.85
$9.85
- NO
Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?
22 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.98
$1.98
- NO
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.28
$1.28
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
268 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-56.25
- YES
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?
234 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-59.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?$14.67Nov 7, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?$20.00Nov 7, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$10.00Nov 7, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$44.66Nov 6, 17:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Yemen on September 16 ET?$0.00Oct 19, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Yemen on September 16 ET?$0.00Oct 19, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?$20.21Oct 18, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLSyria strikes Israel by December 31?$20.21Oct 17, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$43.71Oct 14, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Damascus by September 30?$21.74Oct 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli troops enter Damascus by October 31?$21.97Oct 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$11.68Oct 14, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by 2025?$100.00Oct 14, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$70.00Oct 14, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?$0.00Oct 11, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMFact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?$118.89Oct 11, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?$46.96Oct 1, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?$15.84Sep 25, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?$77.27Sep 24, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEU sanctions on Israel by December 31?$20.00Sep 24, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $31.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".