Embarrassed-Hurry
0x86c0436682d59c046ad4acad9659701cd15a292c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$23.20
Total PnL
$-16.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Solana reach $200 in January?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Infinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?$1.00Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.00 in January?$1.00Jan 5, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1300 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 4, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 4, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek win the okbet trading competition?$1.00Jan 4, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini win the okbet trading competition?$1.00Jan 4, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $4B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 4, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 4, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $4B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 4, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.60 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 4?$1.00Jan 4, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 4, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?$1.00Jan 4, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $200 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 in January?$1.00Jan 4, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.50 December 29-January 4?$1.00Jan 4, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.