0x86c4864697b4644869d164fa6c16ec65e5221ed3
0x86c4864697b4644869d164fa6c16ec65e5221ed3
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$20.28
Total PnL
$-11.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 11?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$10.64
$0.64
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$9.64
$1.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 18?
5 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$8.00Dec 11, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 11?$10.00Dec 11, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$7.14Dec 11, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$10.33Dec 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$10.00Nov 30, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 18?$3.90Nov 18, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 13?$10.00Nov 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$0.06Nov 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Nov 9, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$5.00Nov 9, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$5.62Nov 9, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$5.88Nov 9, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$5.00Nov 4, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 7?$5.00Nov 4, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$5.38Nov 4, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$5.00Oct 26, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $6.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 07:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".