Fussy-Tankful
0x86cca6311bd18f201802813a013b5b7298872c10
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-394.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
4738 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
4703 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-151.41
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
2857 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 4?
364 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
252 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-98.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
27 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-13.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$40.79Mar 31, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$100.00Mar 30, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$58.59Mar 28, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Mar 27, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$99.61Mar 27, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$74.48Mar 23, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$109.09Mar 23, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$272.72Mar 23, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$51.43Mar 22, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$99.31Mar 21, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$100.00Mar 21, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$0.00Mar 15, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$46.99Mar 15, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$100.00Mar 15, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$4.52Mar 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$102.04Mar 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$100.00Mar 14, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$149.83Mar 14, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$76.92Mar 14, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$100.00Mar 14, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $69.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 22:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 02:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.