0x86d06fb799cc41ac18deb8485afee58418dec6ff
0x86d06fb799cc41ac18deb8485afee58418dec6ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$390.00
Total PnL
$-87.40
Realised
$0.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
310 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$310.00
$26.27
- YES
Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?
80 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$80.00
$7.20
- YES
Will Stephen Curry win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
520 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.08
- YES
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?
403 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-103.20
- YES
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the Western Conference?
224 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
208 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $3750 by February 28 2025?
155 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.55
- YES
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
75 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
11 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$13.91Mar 22, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.95Mar 22, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.15Mar 22, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.88Mar 22, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$230.06Mar 19, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$18.42Mar 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$1.66Mar 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$10.54Mar 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$24.30Mar 13, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$24.30Mar 13, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$1.77Mar 13, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?$1.48Mar 8, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?$0.06Mar 7, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a nuclear weapon detonate by March 31?$0.68Mar 6, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLElise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?$19.17Mar 6, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$60.00Mar 6, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? $0.67Mar 6, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$14.28Mar 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.12Mar 6, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.13Mar 6, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $33.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 23:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".