Webbed-Sombrero
0x86d3722904ff990e44f1f3089a7948535538da78
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$27.97
Total PnL
$-373.54
Realised
$63.62
Win rate
47%
83 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13?
16 shares @ 62.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$15.87
$5.97
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
7 shares @ 75.3¢·now 73.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.47
$-0.17
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 89.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.47
$0.01
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- NO
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.72
$-0.29
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
160 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.24
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?
30 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.02
$-7.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13?
15 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.01
$-1.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 28?
327 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on May 5?
234 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13?$2.01Jun 13, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13?$1.01Jun 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?$1.75Jun 13, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13?$0.32Jun 13, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13?$0.78Jun 13, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13?$3.85Jun 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?$1.75Jun 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?$1.86Jun 13, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?$1.81Jun 13, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13?$0.41Jun 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?$1.83Jun 13, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.64Jun 13, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13?$1.57Jun 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13?$1.09Jun 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13?$8.11Jun 13, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13?$2.29Jun 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13?$1.02Jun 13, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13?$1.02Jun 13, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 83 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.