Villainous-Pug
0x86dd5200572b3eae548d8fd9e807b78468d41af2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$763.74
Total PnL
$210.18
Realised
$279.48
Win rate
80%
182 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
18 shares @ 87.3¢·now 93.8¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$16.86
$1.18
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$16.50
$0.10
- NO
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
20 shares @ 76.5¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.71
$-0.60
- NO
Will Sam Raskin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
17 shares @ 80.1¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$14.31
$0.67
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
19 shares @ 78.2¢·now 76.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.26
$-0.23
- NO
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$13.40
$-1.40
- NO
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
15 shares @ 84.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.95
$-0.07
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 92.2¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.65
$0.84
- NO
WHOOP IPO before 2027?
20 shares @ 81.5¢·now 63.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.60
$-3.70
- NO
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
17 shares @ 73.6¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.41
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.83Jun 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.00Jun 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.90Jun 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.00Jun 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.90Jun 13, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.20Jun 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.10Jun 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.50Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4.40Jun 13, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.30Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.31Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.50Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.03Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.07Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.94Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.90Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.05Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.68Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.75Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 182 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.