0x86e2b4b6ea13ae2b7d0acfe28f19f05d6daab8ae
0x86e2b4b6ea13ae2b7d0acfe28f19f05d6daab8ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?$0.07Jan 18, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?$2.00Jan 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 16?$0.82Jan 16, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 16?$1.00Jan 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during Panthers visit?$4.00Jan 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during Panthers visit?$5.00Jan 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Iraq next?$2.14Jan 15, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iraq next?$2.00Jan 15, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11PM ET$1.18Jan 15, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.18Jan 15, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11PM ET$1.20Jan 14, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11PM ET$0.98Jan 14, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Jan 14, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Iran next?$0.87Jan 14, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$1.00Jan 14, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11PM ET$1.00Jan 14, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 18:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.