Colossal-Vanity
0x86e3cffcb17c3be7b4c3f9cd6c56024a9f0dd215
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
2156 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
2145 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
2127 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on November 25?
1671 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-835.27
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1670 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-835.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on November 25?
1660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-830.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
125 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-67.59
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
13 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.57
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
10 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$68.65Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$1.08Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 19?$1.08Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on February 19?$1.24Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?$1.24Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMFlorida International Golden Panthers vs. Liberty Flames$1.51Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMNew Hampshire Wildcats vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks$1.58Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?$1.60Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.15Feb 19, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.37Feb 19, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.69Feb 19, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.14Feb 19, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.34Feb 19, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.31Feb 19, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.01Feb 19, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?$1.17Feb 19, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$1.06Feb 19, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?$1.28Feb 19, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorida International Golden Panthers vs. Liberty Flames$1.30Feb 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Hampshire Wildcats vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks$1.06Feb 19, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $11.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 19:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".