0x86e6b27a5d007ac6ec9a2a9769b6d2b6fcf963d8
0x86e6b27a5d007ac6ec9a2a9769b6d2b6fcf963d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-22.85
Win rate
69%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
670 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-543.10
- YES
Will Trump say "Illegal" or "Illegally" during events with Polish president on September 3?
498 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-303.75
- KOSTYUK
US Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchova
407 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-226.38
- MEDVEDEV
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Moutet
391 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-256.38
- NO
Will Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
356 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-18.25
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
350 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-154.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Commonwealth" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
325 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-172.20
- YES
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
300 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- MUNAR
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovic
270 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-137.94
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2025-10-10?
253 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-217.58
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$12.60Jan 16, 10:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 16, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 15, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 14, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Jan 1, 10:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 23, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 22, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 21, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 20, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 19, 00:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 18, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 17, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 16, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 15, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 14, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Dec 13, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$1.31Nov 18, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$1.31Nov 18, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$145.00Nov 17, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner$1.22Nov 16, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $43.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".