Alert-East
0x86e6db314493f703e775722fb2b0e2763c981e08
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-164.16
Realised
$-0.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 19?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 19?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
300 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
200 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $110K on August 26 at 4PM ET?
155 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-11.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
80 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
80 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
61 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 19?$5.00May 20, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 19?$5.00May 20, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 19?$5.00May 20, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 19?$5.10May 20, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 19?$5.00May 20, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 19?$5.00May 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 19?$5.00May 19, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 19?$5.00May 19, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 17?$5.01May 17, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 17?$5.00May 17, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 17?$5.01May 17, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 17?$5.00May 17, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 17?$5.00May 17, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on May 17?$5.00May 17, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 16?$5.00May 17, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 16?$5.01May 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 16?$5.00May 16, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 16?$5.00May 16, 16:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 15?$5.01May 16, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 15?$5.00May 15, 20:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".