Beautiful-Thrill
0x86e8496364cd5c44d326e88673af32fdcaee916b
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?$0.21Jun 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$0.83Jun 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.05Jun 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.64Jun 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$0.17Jun 23, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Materialists" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $10m?$1.00Jun 21, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?$1.00Jun 21, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$1.00Jun 21, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.00Jun 21, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jun 21, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$3.98Jun 21, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.34Jun 21, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$0.00Jun 19, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$1.00Jun 18, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.00Jun 18, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00Jun 18, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$1.00Jun 18, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.