Nocturnal-Ton
0x86e9576a7f6b6ce88a8cb3eff1a2da87d7923606
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$137.65
Total PnL
$-22.71
Realised
$1.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 19?
74 shares @ 61.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$52.98
$7.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?
38 shares @ 64.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$28.48
$4.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 17?
28 shares @ 32.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$27.53
$18.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 19?
80 shares @ 31.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$14.84
$-10.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 18?
35 shares @ 30.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$7.18
$-3.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 18?
32 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.85
$-2.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 19?
34 shares @ 28.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.68
$-7.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 19?
34 shares @ 28.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.54
$-8.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 19?
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.68
$-3.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 18?
30 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.27
$-0.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 27?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 11?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 26?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $8.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 04:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".