0x86ee0688fe761e3eaa39d86ce83ff93858cb9ebb
0x86ee0688fe761e3eaa39d86ce83ff93858cb9ebb
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
97
Open notional
$34.00
Total PnL
$-556.65
Realised
$13.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
24 shares @ 36.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$24.00
$15.32
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$4.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 1?
1454 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 1?
1167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-34.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 28?
929 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-44.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 3?
817 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on March 2?
800 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on March 23?
633 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on March 1?
623 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 30?
558 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 20?$4.56Apr 20, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 20?$4.89Apr 20, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 16?$10.47Apr 17, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 16?$8.06Apr 16, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 14?$10.19Apr 15, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 14?$1.55Apr 14, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 14?$5.68Apr 14, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 12?$9.87Apr 13, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 12?$6.81Apr 12, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 11?$8.50Apr 12, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 11?$5.53Apr 11, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 11?$7.30Apr 11, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 11?$5.69Apr 11, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 11?$4.98Apr 11, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 10?$7.00Apr 10, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 9?$12.20Apr 10, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 10?$4.48Apr 10, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 10?$3.54Apr 10, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 9?$5.98Apr 9, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 8?$7.95Apr 8, 18:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".