Specific-Independence
0x86f84458eceeb55d1a5f36546b2d035b41a663d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$15.00
Total PnL
$-683.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
11129 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 12?
8173 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 18?
4754 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.75
- DIAMONDBACKS
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates
1464 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-600.23
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
11 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?$4.8KMay 25, 06:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?$2.6KMay 24, 09:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$2.69May 20, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.10May 20, 00:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $2.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".