Jaded-Alloy
0x86f9fe88396fa63624709d7b867ec6761ee803e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.72
Total PnL
$0.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?
1 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.40
$0.10
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 22 be less than 2,500,000?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 6?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on April 6?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on March 25?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$1.20
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.37Apr 6, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.30Apr 5, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.32Apr 5, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$1.30Apr 5, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.32Mar 30, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.33Mar 27, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on March 25?$1.20Mar 25, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 22 be less than 2,500,000?$1.30Mar 22, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 21?$2.00Mar 22, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Richard Moscoso win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$1.30Mar 22, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$1.30Mar 22, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?$2.00Mar 22, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1.30Mar 22, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on March 21?$2.03Mar 22, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.30Mar 22, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$1.30Mar 22, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMHigh Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks$2.32Mar 22, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$1.30Mar 22, 04:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $90.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 1, 02:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 18:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".