Scaly-Icebreaker
0x86fcacccd1123e450446b6bc8f9a5a6343506812
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$31.96
Total PnL
$-99.70
Realised
$-2.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Discord IPO before 2027?
32 shares @ 6.2¢·now 41.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.37
$11.37
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.51
$1.51
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
91 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
94 shares @ 5.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.45
$-3.55
- YES
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.76
$-1.24
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on February 3?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?
1379 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
- UP
Solana Up or Down on February 3?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$1.00Apr 26, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by June 30?$2.00Apr 26, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Iran next?$0.00Apr 26, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$31.25Apr 26, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?$0.00Mar 3, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?$1.87Feb 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?$1.00Feb 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?$1.00Feb 28, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$1.00Feb 28, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Syria next?$1.00Feb 28, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Yemen next?$1.00Feb 28, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike another country first?$1.00Feb 28, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$5.00Feb 28, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 28, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 28, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?$0.00Feb 28, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 12:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?$0.00Feb 28, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".