0x86fd279044e4d74c8eeba65731ee06c7ff0a9fc2
0x86fd279044e4d74c8eeba65731ee06c7ff0a9fc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
New arrests in Charlie Kirk shooting by September 30?
4500 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 13?
1190 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-315.62
- YES
John Brennan federally charged by October 31?
459 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.05
- YES
Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?
96 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-57.60
- YES
Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace prize" during Egypt summit?
39 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-22.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$127.99Nov 4, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$14.72Nov 4, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$11.52Nov 4, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$14.88Nov 4, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.83Nov 4, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$149.52Nov 4, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$180.12Nov 4, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.52Nov 4, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYJohn Brennan federally charged by October 31?$2.21Oct 21, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYJohn Brennan federally charged by October 31?$48.84Oct 21, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$314.79Oct 21, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 21, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$11.83Oct 21, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 13?$400.00Oct 14, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 13?$95.12Oct 13, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?$57.60Oct 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace prize" during Egypt summit?$14.25Oct 13, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace prize" during Egypt summit?$7.95Oct 13, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 13?$98.00Oct 13, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 13?$268.00Oct 13, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $84.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 07:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.