Ambitious-Shofar
0x86fe235cbb8da29a418d0c1d876f54aeeadccee7
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.33May 31, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.68May 30, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.69May 29, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.57May 28, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.84May 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Pallone Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-06?$4.97May 26, 03:57 UTC
- REWARD$0.41May 26, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frank Pallone Jr. be the Democratic nominee for NJ-06?$14.93May 26, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$5.95May 25, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$21.51May 25, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMLily Phillips sex event cancelled?$35.71May 25, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLily Phillips sex event cancelled?$10.00Jan 2, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$20.00Jan 2, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New York Mets win the World Series?$0.00Jan 2, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMPavel Durov flees France by Sep 15?$11.08Jan 2, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Mets win the World Series?$4.00Sep 20, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the World Series?$0.79Sep 18, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the World Series?$1.29Sep 18, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the World Series?$0.02Sep 16, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Mets win the World Series?$2.98Sep 12, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $8.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.