Illustrious-Influx
0x870d0afc0c224c0e1169a69d2e73cb9b401a6ecf
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.84
Total PnL
$-667.22
Realised
$-1.72
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Estonia win on 2025-11-13?
176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Benin win on 2026-01-05?
122 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will PSV win on 2025-12-09?
114 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Lithuania win on 2025-11-17?
106 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-12-06?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Liechtenstein win on 2025-11-18?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will San Marino win on 2025-11-18?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$1.03Jun 4, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$7.11May 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$8.15May 30, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?$2.05May 30, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?$2.05May 30, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$5.09Apr 29, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?$5.09Apr 28, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-19?$18.11Apr 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-19?$5.00Apr 19, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$7.18Apr 16, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?$10.48Apr 16, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?$3.00Apr 15, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$5.00Apr 14, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5$7.00Mar 31, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?$10.00Mar 31, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$15.15Mar 22, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?$4.00Mar 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?$5.00Mar 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?$3.00Mar 10, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$4.97Mar 9, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".