Foolhardy-Fright
0x8719cb4ae9dd8ff6b56fbed0beb48d19631dce4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
135
Open notional
$3.89
Total PnL
$-360.32
Realised
$22.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 135- YES
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 3?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
138 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
123 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$3.66Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$2.07Jun 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$2.09Jun 13, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$4.26Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?$5.08Jun 13, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUnited States leading at halftime?$3.03Jun 13, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay?$1.02Jun 13, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay?$1.02Jun 13, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay?$1.02Jun 13, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?$1.01Jun 13, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay leading at halftime?$1.02Jun 13, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States leading at halftime?$1.02Jun 13, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay?$1.03Jun 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay?$2.05Jun 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?$1.03Jun 13, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$2.03Jun 12, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$1.02Jun 12, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$5.87Jun 12, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$2.04Jun 12, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 14:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.