Sweltering-Quicksand
0x871d1ca66381e3f018577e386d42ac99f7825c40
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-108.83
Realised
$6.81
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 16?
227 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
200 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.85
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
92 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
75 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
59 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
57 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?$1.00Feb 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?$1.20Feb 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?$1.09Feb 26, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?$3.80Feb 26, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 18?$1.00Feb 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 18?$1.00Feb 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$0.59Feb 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$14.68Feb 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$2.00Feb 18, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$5.00Feb 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.00Feb 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$2.00Feb 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$3.00Feb 18, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$0.00Feb 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$4.00Feb 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$4.00Feb 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$4.00Feb 18, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.97Feb 18, 06:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 13:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.