Magnificent-Champagne
0x8725736d3c437dc662f62b11a6f6c1ec0af0813d
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
193
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$8.60
Win rate
58%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 193- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
1027 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
304 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
283 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
282 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
269 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- OVER
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
260 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
257 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- OVER
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5
227 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-16.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$2.10Jul 23, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$2.10Jul 23, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.17Jul 23, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.19Jul 23, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.20Jul 23, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$5.20Jul 23, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.27Jul 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$2.10Jul 23, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$5.24Jul 23, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$22.18Jul 23, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.19Jul 23, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.13Jul 23, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$5.13Jul 23, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$18.73Jul 23, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.89Jul 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.06Jul 23, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.06Jul 23, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.11Jul 23, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBloomfield Hills: Roger Pascual vs Andres Martin$13.45Jul 23, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBloomfield Hills: Roger Pascual vs Andres Martin$5.17Jul 23, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 19:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.