Rowdy-Yesterday
0x872c61ee7069d7d809fa7020add46914315feab4
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$428.57
Total PnL
$-12.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$428.57
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
18040 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2024$0.00
$-6.6K
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
17865 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-714.62
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
5833 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" at his rally?
5500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2024$0.00
$-495.00
- YES
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
5000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-352.77
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
4669 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-399.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "BTC" at his rally?
4245 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2024$0.00
$-466.94
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
3382 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
2460 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$100.00Jan 30, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$200.00Jan 30, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$200.00Jan 30, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$500.00Jan 24, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1000.00Jan 24, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?$500.00Jan 24, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.0KJan 24, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.7KOct 26, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$6.7KJul 16, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$856.15Jan 9, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" at his rally?$495.00Aug 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "BTC" at his rally?$466.94Aug 17, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$507.78Jul 15, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$1.4KJul 15, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$169.56Jul 11, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$352.77Jul 10, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$714.62Jul 10, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$448.00Jul 8, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$923.51Jul 7, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$900.00Jul 7, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $758.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 04:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 01:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.