Growing-Jug
0x872d61102c4cf3f1d03808f603824b286ad1379d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$109.77
Total PnL
$-195.64
Realised
$1.29
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
34 shares @ 8.9¢·now 34.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$11.39
$8.39
- YES
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
21 shares @ 28.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.34
$4.55
- YES
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?
41 shares @ 12.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.83
$1.83
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
146 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.61
$0.61
- YES
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 17.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.53
$1.53
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
35 shares @ 20.2¢·now 15.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.19
$-1.81
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
12 shares @ 26.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.18
$1.87
- YES
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?
89 shares @ 11.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.69
$-5.61
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?
20 shares @ 18.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.06
$0.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$1.23Jul 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$5.14Jul 28, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$6.37Jul 28, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$1.14Jul 27, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $80 in July?$0.15Jul 27, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?$4.46Jul 27, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.04Jul 27, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?$5.22Jul 27, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?$2.10Jul 27, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$1.00Jul 27, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$4.13Jul 27, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 27, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?$3.12Jul 27, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?$2.06Jul 27, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?$3.11Jul 27, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?$28.26Jul 27, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?$2.03Jul 27, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $80 in July?$2.10Jul 27, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$3.11Jul 27, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$3.12Jul 27, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 09:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.