Frayed-Chive
0x873292895ff8b63e1ed293a8dadd1667baf96cb4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-358.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
2660 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-107.09
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 May meeting?
1791 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?
1500 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?
1067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will MEW reach $1b first?
1000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
1000 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-29.00
- NO
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
600 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-17.40
- YES
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?
375 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2023$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days?
201 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-40.23
- YES
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?$3.20Feb 23, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$37.36Feb 21, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$56.00Feb 21, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$10.14Feb 21, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?$42.00Feb 21, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$4.49Feb 21, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$23.78Feb 21, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$0.44Feb 21, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$0.29Feb 21, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$17.40Feb 21, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AFD be part of the next German government?$3.60Feb 21, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$75.58Feb 12, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$9.93Jan 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$3.44Jan 2, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$6.60Jan 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$20.71Jan 1, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$4.40Jan 1, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$16.30Jan 1, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$5.23Jan 1, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$22.38Dec 31, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $17.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".