Hollow-Cloakroom
0x873534996602665a42c5f2902b6203599ff246e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
25/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.6K
Realised
$857.41
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
225760 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
190727 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
111200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-644.74
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
104131 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-104.13
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
102000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-306.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
100000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
80000 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-13.4K
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
50843 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.1K
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?
26678 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-715.92
- NO
Democratic sweep?
26502 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.