Giving-Dromedary
0x8741b8cea4e02960c2c038b6646e561c66bc1ec4
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$138.31
Total PnL
$-51.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
42 shares @ 72.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$41.58
$11.58
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$19.23
$9.23
- NO
Astronomer Divorce Parlay
19 shares @ 79.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$18.86
$3.86
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
15 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$14.71
$4.71
- NO
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$13.33
$3.33
- NO
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.50
$2.50
- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.67
$1.67
- NO
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$6.10
$1.10
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$5.33
$1.33
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
126 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$7.04Aug 8, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by August 31?$48.78Aug 8, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$74.38Aug 8, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 31?$40.00Jul 25, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?$20.00Jul 25, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?$0.59Jul 21, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$9.95Jul 21, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$34.45Jul 21, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$20.00Jul 19, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?$10.00Jul 19, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?$20.00Jul 19, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?$19.99Jul 19, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$13.11Jul 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$13.69Jul 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstronomer Divorce Parlay$15.00Jul 19, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$0.00Jul 19, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$25.40Jul 19, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?$20.00Jul 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on August 31?$10.00Jul 13, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$10.00Jul 13, 18:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $15.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 11:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".