Alienated-Herring
0x8741fb74b282a3e6c525ee2df987fd4fbd26754d
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
324 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-13.78
- YES
Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
131 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
57 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?
22 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?$5.00Oct 10, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?$2.33Oct 10, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$7.33Oct 10, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.00Oct 9, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.00Oct 9, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Lombard be the next Prime Minister of France?$3.07Oct 9, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Border" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$12.07Oct 9, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$9.00Oct 9, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$8.78Oct 9, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $6.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 16:54 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 10, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.