Remorseful-Jasmine
0x8746aee3a6871302a0aefa841e13e6b972662779
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
76
Open notional
$9.64
Total PnL
$-698.68
Realised
$9.40
Win rate
86%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- YES
Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026?
20 shares @ 9.5¢·now 24.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.99
$3.09
- YES
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$3.77
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%?
20 shares @ 22.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 19, 2027$0.49
$-3.95
- YES
Will 1100 to 1149 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
8 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$0.18
$-0.04
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 Action of the Year?
12 shares @ 4.1¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 13, 2026$0.17
$-0.31
- YES
Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.5% and 1.7%?
3 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.11
- DETROIT TIGERS
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
150 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-48.49
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
144 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-75.82
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers
132 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-49.93
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of May 25 2026?
100 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-34.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMMeta (META) Up or Down on June 29?$20.00Jun 29, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on June 29?$17.20Jun 28, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 29?$3.37Jun 28, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 29?$3.41Jun 28, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 29?$6.60Jun 28, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 26?$13.02Jun 26, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 26?$13.00Jun 26, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$0.10Jun 14, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$0.06Jun 14, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets$0.06Jun 14, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$0.11Jun 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$5.87Jun 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$5.76Jun 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles$0.40Jun 14, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$3.80Jun 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets$0.10Jun 14, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles$0.50Jun 14, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$4.00Jun 14, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$4.00Jun 14, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles$0.50Jun 14, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.