0x874b25071e6260301efc844c86f361693ca24af0
0x874b25071e6260301efc844c86f361693ca24af0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
29%
118 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
334 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$327.26
$-1.84
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
852 shares @ 18.6¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$149.16
$-9.84
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
562 shares @ 14.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$64.62
$-14.72
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
197 shares @ 31.9¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.24
$-4.85
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
61 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.18
$-0.10
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
57 shares @ 91.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.35
$0.14
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.06
$-2.34
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
159 shares @ 30.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.07
$-12.72
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
136 shares @ 26.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$33.39
$-2.23
- NO
Trump goes to space in 2026?
34 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.55
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$21.78Jun 5, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$14.84Jun 5, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$1.43Jun 5, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$5.57Jun 5, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$6.78Jun 5, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.00Jun 5, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.72Jun 5, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.99Jun 5, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.99Jun 5, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$5.62Jun 5, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$3.48Jun 5, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$5.54Jun 5, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$3.13Jun 5, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$19.53Jun 5, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$1.47Jun 4, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?$15.88Jun 4, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$8.10Jun 4, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$0.00Jun 4, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?$0.00Jun 4, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?$0.00Jun 4, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 118 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".