Yearly-Fiery
0x874eb3e6b18ae961b045555407b20297f51f03b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$212.15
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-12.37
Win rate
25%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
69 shares @ 34.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$69.31
$45.31
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
46 shares @ 58.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$46.32
$19.32
- NO
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?
20 shares @ 60.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.77
$7.77
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
17 shares @ 69.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$17.30
$5.30
- NO
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?
16 shares @ 64.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.59
$5.59
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 62.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.97
$1.97
- NO
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$6.67
$4.67
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
6 shares @ 64.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.23
$2.23
- NO
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
6 shares @ 66.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.00
$2.00
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$5.45
$2.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$1.01Oct 30, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.30Oct 30, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Oct 28, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$1.00Oct 28, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$0.57Oct 27, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$0.68Oct 26, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$5.56Oct 23, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Turkey by December 31?$1.21Oct 22, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Oct 22, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$10.25Oct 22, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$2.67Oct 22, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$4.22Oct 22, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza mass population relocation in 2025?$1.21Oct 22, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLGerman government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?$2.33Oct 22, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by October 15?$1.00Sep 29, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Sep 28, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Sep 28, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$2.00Sep 28, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Sep 28, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?$1.00Sep 28, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 24, 09:53 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 30, 20:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.