Mediocre-Birdbath
0x875058b4f455e79fc1f6320c12d0a080a4d018e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-681.62
Realised
$-119.76
Win rate
0%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
759 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-393.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
67 shares @ 59.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-39.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
11 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
11 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
6 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$0.00Mar 6, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Mar 6, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$0.00Mar 6, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.00Mar 6, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00Mar 6, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Mar 6, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.00Mar 6, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00Mar 6, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Mar 6, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Mar 6, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.01Mar 6, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.01Mar 6, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$0.01Mar 6, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$0.01Mar 6, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.01Mar 6, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.01Mar 6, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.01Mar 6, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.01Mar 6, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.01Mar 6, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.01Mar 6, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.