Bubbly-Danger
0x8750d10c86d466f4dcdc7bacc1be345592bb499f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$20.30
Total PnL
$-1.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in September?$0.00May 17, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$0.00May 17, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$200.20May 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?$20.02May 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?$200.01May 10, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (March 29)$1.35Apr 4, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$11.76Apr 4, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$21.37Apr 4, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$2.0KApr 4, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (March 29)$1.00Mar 22, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.00Mar 22, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$10.00Mar 22, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$20.00Mar 22, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$2.0KMar 22, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?$2.01Mar 22, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?$2.05Mar 22, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in September?$2.25Mar 22, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$2.00Oct 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in September?$2.00Oct 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in September?$2.00Oct 13, 13:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $133.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 10:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.