Thin-Treat
0x875469968040a39f17d47f35d3f3ca30110841d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 2?
510 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-255.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 24?
510 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-255.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 6?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 3?
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 10?
490 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-245.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 9?
490 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-245.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,900 January 5-11?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 6?
310 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
292 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 12?
210 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$0.21Jan 27, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 20, 6PM ET$490.00Jan 27, 09:53 UTC
- SPLITXRP Up or Down - January 20, 6PM ET$490.00Jan 20, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$490.00Jan 20, 22:45 UTC
- SPLITSolana Up or Down - January 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$490.00Jan 20, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 20?$1.00Jan 20, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$490.00Jan 20, 11:02 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$490.00Jan 19, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 7AM ET$495.00Jan 19, 21:50 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - January 19, 7AM ET$495.00Jan 19, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 19?$3.01Jan 19, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?$124.50Jan 19, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 17, 1PM ET$370.00Jan 19, 10:50 UTC
- SPLITSolana Up or Down - January 17, 1PM ET$370.00Jan 17, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 17, 6AM ET$370.00Jan 17, 16:17 UTC
- SPLITEthereum Up or Down - January 17, 6AM ET$370.00Jan 17, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 12-18?$124.00Jan 17, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 16?$140.40Jan 17, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 16, 12PM ET$355.00Jan 17, 10:16 UTC
- SPLITXRP Up or Down - January 16, 12PM ET$355.00Jan 16, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $69.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 14:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".