Improbable-Cacao
0x8758aeabe3b25e9c4fad2ff4132b8582016501e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-130.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- LATVIA
Men's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latvia
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- RAMS
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
10000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.1K
- FRANCE
Men's Round of 16 - Germany vs. France
10000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- ITALY
Men's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy
10000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- GERMANY
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germany
10000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- OVER
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 156.5
8518 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
- DENMARK
Men's Group C - USA vs. Denmark
8000 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-313.99
- RICE OWLS
Spread: Charlotte 49ers (-5.5)
7400 shares @ 53.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- OVER
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
6000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- BRONCOS
Patriots vs. Broncos
6000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Magic (-8.5)$3.0KFeb 20, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Magic (-8.5)$458.45Feb 18, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Magic (-8.5)$1.1KFeb 18, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia$4.3KFeb 18, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia$3.9KFeb 18, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latvia$1.0KFeb 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?$1.6KFeb 17, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 135.5$2.0KFeb 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5$1.6KFeb 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Germany vs. France$1.3KFeb 17, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy$172.57Feb 17, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy$3.64Feb 17, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy$8.47Feb 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy$8.80Feb 17, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy$2.39Feb 17, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy$34.65Feb 17, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy$469.47Feb 17, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMMen's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia$0.00Feb 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 135.5$170.12Feb 17, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 135.5$4.76Feb 17, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $433.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".