Smug-Serval
0x87636224eeefe0caae6cdc231e499f59039878bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
135 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Massage" during his Epstein testimony?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Mar-a-Lago" during his Epstein testimony?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Secretary" during his Epstein testimony?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Daughter" during his Epstein testimony?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$2.54Mar 7, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have exactly 8 launches in March?$0.13Mar 7, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have exactly 7 launches in March?$0.17Mar 7, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.70Mar 7, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have less than or equal to 6 launches in March?$0.40Mar 7, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in March?$1.13Mar 7, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in March?$1.96Mar 4, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 8 launches in March?$2.00Mar 4, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 7 launches in March?$2.00Mar 4, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have less than or equal to 6 launches in March?$2.00Mar 4, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$3.00Mar 4, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$3.00Mar 4, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$13.96Mar 4, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Hornets$0.00Mar 4, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Magic$0.00Mar 4, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. Heat$0.00Mar 4, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$0.00Mar 4, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.96Mar 3, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 21:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".