Cultivated-Mushroom
0x876a9c78f742fd8944726e88095a69ce853f6dcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.20
Total PnL
$-87.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
2024 October hottest on record?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
76 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times October 4-11?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
JD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?
39 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" 3 or more times on Call Her Daddy?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "context" on Call Her Daddy?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mitt Romney endorse Kamala?
16 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$40.00Oct 12, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$2.27Oct 12, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$20.00Oct 12, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?$1.00Oct 7, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$8.68Oct 7, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$1.00Oct 7, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,400 on October 11?$1.00Oct 7, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?$1.00Oct 7, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 October hottest on record?$1.00Oct 7, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?$1.00Oct 7, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31?$1.00Oct 7, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military response against Iran by Friday?$10.00Oct 7, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$8.00Oct 5, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?$6.00Oct 5, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iran strike on Israel in October?$5.00Oct 5, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Abortion" 3 or more times on Call Her Daddy?$5.00Oct 5, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mitt Romney endorse Kamala?$4.00Oct 5, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "context" on Call Her Daddy?$5.00Oct 5, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 150 times October 4-11?$2.00Oct 5, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon before November?$3.00Oct 5, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $5.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 12, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".