Ragged-Bathtub
0x877c051c75a09b55298492759ec6b72f4e2e007c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-5.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14497 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$746.60
$-7.23
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24047 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$492.96
$-12.00
- YES
Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?
34167 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
12599 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-302.95
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
8381 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
4990 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-997.91
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
4202 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Bitcoin all time high before July?
1020 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-98.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
1007 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.76
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 22?
78 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-31.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 11, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$775.29Jun 11, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$514.68Jun 11, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$110.76Jan 15, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$239.22Oct 23, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$1.1KSep 14, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$1.1KSep 14, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$536.63Aug 20, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$336.26Aug 20, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$200.37Aug 20, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$397.53Aug 20, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$397.53Aug 20, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$490.62Aug 20, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$490.62Aug 20, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$999.80Aug 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$996.20Aug 17, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$1000.00Aug 17, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin hug on Friday?$1.5KAug 15, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $688.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 04:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.