Wallet digest

active

Activity score

60/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

135

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-4.9K

Realised

$60.76

Win rate

75%

4 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 135

YES
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?
818 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026
$0.00
$-100.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
717 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-136.79
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
691 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-89.89
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
675 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-122.82
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
668 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-133.47
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
633 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026
$0.00
$-79.96
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
627 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-126.87
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
544 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026
$0.00
$-50.90
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
475 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026
$0.00
$-26.58
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
471 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-84.98

Recent activity

TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?$100.00Mar 6, 07:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.07Jan 30, 03:24 UTC
MAKER_REBATE$1.08Jan 30, 00:10 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Jan 29, 05:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$17.72Jan 29, 05:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.09Jan 29, 04:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$10.84Jan 29, 04:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$20.03Jan 29, 04:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$7.20Jan 29, 04:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$7.20Jan 29, 04:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$7.23Jan 29, 04:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$7.20Jan 29, 04:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$7.17Jan 29, 04:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$24.00Jan 29, 04:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$5.43Jan 29, 04:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$5.52Jan 29, 04:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$16.65Jan 29, 04:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$11.25Jan 29, 04:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$16.65Jan 29, 04:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$9.00Jan 29, 04:47 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence13 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry16 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $10.93
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 29, 01:20 UTC
Last active: Mar 6, 07:26 UTC
Win rate sample: 4 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:41:32 UTC·src:Polymarket Data