Creative-Bracket
0x878429f67a8985a9c1b7d69d745c9046440d2952
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-275.31
Realised
$-83.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?
5131 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-161.71
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win over 40% of the vote in the German election?
1668 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will another coalition form the next German Government?
154 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?
43 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-19.11
- NO
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?
28 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
US military action against Iran by Saturday?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran by Saturday?$1.55Jun 21, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.91Mar 11, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.29Mar 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.31Mar 11, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment coalition formed within 100 days of German election?$1.20Mar 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$1.00Mar 7, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.24Mar 7, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?$19.11Feb 23, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$15.00Feb 23, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.17Feb 23, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.14Feb 23, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.18Feb 23, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.26Feb 23, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.21Feb 23, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.17Feb 23, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.24Feb 23, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.05Feb 23, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.20Feb 23, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$0.41Feb 23, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$2.96Feb 23, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 22:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 20:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".