Bland-Effacement
0x8784f8c6de07cebde41bd7b8b1e27d66e397f1ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$259.37
Total PnL
$-775.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$172.41
$72.41
- YES
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$86.96
$66.96
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
575 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?
179 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Liverpool vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
172 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?
158 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?
122 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-19?
104 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?$10.00Jan 8, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$20.00Jan 8, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$25.00Jan 3, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?$20.00Jan 3, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?$100.00Jan 3, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?$20.00Jan 3, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?$10.00Nov 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?$25.00Nov 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?$25.00Nov 28, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?$34.72Nov 24, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?$48.08Nov 24, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill West Ham win on 2025-11-08?$49.02Nov 24, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?$100.00Nov 24, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?$25.00Nov 6, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win on 2025-11-09?$25.00Nov 6, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?$25.00Nov 6, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw?$20.00Nov 6, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-11-08?$25.00Nov 6, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?$147.06Nov 6, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle win on 2025-10-25?$163.96Nov 6, 11:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $37.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 18:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 06:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".