Watery-Grasshopper
0x878f74cf4edba47579ad65b5e53a0e4612401755
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.5K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
75000 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
67318 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-583.44
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
35330 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.5K
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
34408 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-19.1K
- YES
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
30931 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.2K
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
28117 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
13250 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
9000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-234.00
- YES
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
8207 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.5K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
6500 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-554.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$200.00May 10, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$708.52May 4, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.4KMay 4, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$140.00May 4, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.06May 4, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.04May 4, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.04May 4, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$101.34May 4, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$350.00May 4, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$76.76May 4, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$618.34May 3, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.21May 3, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.48May 3, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.97May 3, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.06May 3, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.31May 3, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.15May 3, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.31May 3, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.31May 3, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$0.31May 3, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $72.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 22:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.