Antique-Frame
0x879247bf7570a40d193dd3bb9118820e0b194174
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$49.3K
Total PnL
$-18.7K
Realised
$6.4K
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
13747 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.7K
$758.09
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
6976 shares @ 82.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.9K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
6469 shares @ 71.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.8K
$1.2K
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
5732 shares @ 96.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.7K
$150.57
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
4165 shares @ 80.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.1K
$805.36
- NO
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
2751 shares @ 91.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$2.7K
$163.75
- NO
Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
1682 shares @ 94.5¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.6K
$44.45
- NO
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
1364 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.3K
$14.31
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
1108 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.1K
$83.18
- NO
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?
854 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$842.47
$-2.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$15.13Jun 30, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$2.57Jun 30, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 2?$27.37Jun 30, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?$115.62Jun 30, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 2?$76.16Jun 30, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$114.71Jun 30, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?$40.00Jun 30, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?$71.54Jun 30, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 30?$153.35Jun 30, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 30?$87.91Jun 30, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 30?$1.5KJun 30, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 30?$320.65Jun 30, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 30?$205.40Jun 30, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 30?$4.29Jun 30, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C or higher on June 30?$19.89Jun 30, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 30?$3.82Jun 30, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?$31.14Jun 30, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 30?$5.00Jun 30, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 1?$11.15Jun 30, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$137.00Jun 30, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$31.9K
Trades
1
Buy share
50%
Window
May 31, 04:30 UTC → May 31, 04:24 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$15.8K@88¢May 31, 04:24 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
$16.1K · 50% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $80.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 03:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 19:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.